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    <title>Forecasting on Dario Arcos-Díaz, PhD</title>
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      <title>Fitbit activity and sleep data: a time-series analysis with Generalized Additive Models</title>
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      <pubDate>Sun, 01 Apr 2018 00:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
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      <description>This is a time-series analysis of activity and sleep data from a fitbit user throughout a year. I use this data to predict an additional year of the life of the user using Generalized Additive Models.</description>
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      <title>Simulating the revenue of a product with Monte-Carlo random walks</title>
      <link>https://arcosdiaz.com/archive/2016-10-15-product-revenue-forecast/</link>
      <pubDate>Sat, 15 Oct 2016 00:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
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      <description>I take a look at how we can model the future revenue of a product by making certain assumptions and running a Monte Carlo simulation.</description>
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